In a 5-round women’s flyweight championship fight in the co-main event, Alexa Grasso And Valentina Shevchenko Meeting Saturday at UFC 306 – Riyadh Season Still UFC at the Sphere in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 306: Grasso vs. Shevchenko – Oddsand give our expert tips and predictions.

Preliminary action begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPNews/ESPN+, while the main event begins at 10 p.m. ET on pay-per-view.

records: Grasso (16-3-1) | Shevchenko (23-4-1)

It’s a trilogy fight. Grasso won the women’s flyweight belt at UFC 285 with a 4th-round submission win in March 2023. The rematch ended in a draw last September at Noche UFC, so the two fighters will face off again a year later for a 3rd fight.

Grasso has a record of 5-0-1 in his last six fights, with four of those fights going the full distance, including his last fight against Shevchenko in 5 rounds.

As for Shevchenko, the Kyrgyz left-hander wants to regain her title. She surpassed Joanna Jedrzejczyk at UFC 231 and kept the belt for 7 title defenses before Grasso took it from her at UFC 285.

Shevchenko held on for the draw, but that was a rarity. Only three of her last seven fights have required the judges to decide the winner.

Both fighters are 5’5″ tall and Shevchenko has a tiny half-inch reach advantage. Grasso has a 4.67 to 3.28 significant punches per minute advantage, while Shevchenko is much more accurate at 68.65% on those punches, while Grasso lands just 55.69%.

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UFC 306: Grasso vs. Shevchenko – Odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; for a complete list visit the USA TODAY sports scores and betting odds hub. Odds last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

• Fight result (2-way line): Grasso -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Shevchenko +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
• Will the fight go the full distance? (Yes -200 | No +150)

UFC 306: Tips and predictions for Grasso vs. Shevchenko

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

I am not a fan of conspiracy theories. I believe that these fights are happening organically and that there is nothing wrong with the UFC. The reason why I am SHEVCHENKO (+115) is because the previous two fights were so close.

I imagine the former champion will do his job and that there will actually be a fourth fight in the future to determine once and for all who will be the true champion of the division.

Additionally, SHEVCHENKO BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+175) for the chance to almost double your winnings is also a good investment.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-200): Will the fight go the full distance? is a bit too expensive as a single bet. If you now include this bet in a multiple bet with multiple stakes, it is not the end of the world.

However, with a single bet AVOID.

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