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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds – Prediction, 9/21/2024, MLB Tips, Best Bets & Odds


Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds – Prediction, 9/21/2024, MLB Tips, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, 21 September 2024

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

The Cincinnati Reds (74-79) will host the Pittsburgh Pirates (71-81) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. Jared Jones and Rhett Lowder will be the pitchers.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds – Prediction, 9/21/2024, MLB Tips, Best Bets & Odds

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Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .371 and has 1,411 strikeouts while giving up 453 walks. They have 611 runs batted in and 1,215 base hits on the year, and their team batting average is .236. As a team, the Pirates have hit 226 doubles and hit 146 balls out of the park. They have scored 633 total runs and hold an on-base percentage of .302. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are allowing 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 22nd in baseball.

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They have posted a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and the pitchers have posted a combined WHIP of 1.32. The Pirates’ pitchers have allowed 159 home runs and 697 runs (21st in baseball). Pittsburgh has allowed 1,301 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 624 earned runs. The Pirates have a team earned run average of 4.15 this season (20th in the league) and their team has struck out 1,267 hitters. Their pitchers have walked 477 other team players and their FIP as a unit is 4.06 this season.

The Pirates have sent 476 relievers to the mound so far this year. Bullpen pitchers have taken on 190 runners this season, with 33.2% of them crossing the plate. They have earned 38 saves over the course of the season and blown 29 of their 67 save opportunities. Pirates relief pitchers have accumulated a 56.7% save rate and have entered the game in 148 save situations. The bullpen has recorded 80 holds this season (13th in baseball). Pirates pitchers have entered the game with runners on the field 125 times and have had 160 appearances in high-pressure situations.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 4,055 putouts this year, along with 1,299 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding percentage is .984, which ranks them 21st in professional baseball, and they have 134 total double plays. The Pirates have converted 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,165 innings on the field, which ranks them 24th in baseball.

Jones has been on the mound for 112 innings and has 120 Ks in his MLB career. Jones (career record 6-7) has a FIP of 3.80 despite facing 460 opposing batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.85 (48 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.151. He has allowed 95 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) and 34 walks.

Cincinnati has 169 home runs and 641 RBIs so far this season. They have hit 249 two-baggers, gotten a free base 470 times and scored 675 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a .306 OBP and a .233 batting average on the season. The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .394 and are scoring 4.41 runs per game (15th in MLB). They have 1,389 strikeouts (7th in the league) and have 1,174 base hits.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.247 and a team FIP of 4.21 this year. As a pitching staff, they rank 14th in the league with 1,226 hits allowed. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 658 runs so far this year and has a team ERA of 4.09 (613 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.70 (1,302 strikeouts vs. 458 walks). They have allowed 182 home runs and are allowing 4.39 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

Cincinnati’s bullpen pitchers have a 29.8% carried point percentage of their 218 runners carried. Their relief pitchers have been used in high pressure situations 149 times and with base runners 140 times. The Reds have made 131 saves and 78 holds and 15 blown saves. They currently rank third in the league with a 70.0% save percentage and have put 505 bullpen pitchers on the field this year. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers in the game on 50 save opportunities and they have made 35 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have 95 double plays and a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in the Major League). The Reds have 1,148 assists and 94 errors and have 4,050 putouts so far this season. In their 12,150 innings on the field, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (14th in the MLB).

During his MLB career, Lowder has allowed 17 base hits and has totaled 17 punch outs in 20 innings. Lowder (career record: 1-2 wins/losses) has posted a 1.78 ERA and allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 4 ERs while posting a 1.287 WHIP and owning a 1.8 FIP. His K/BB ratio is 1.89 and he has faced 84 opposing batters during his professional baseball career.

Who will win today’s MLB game against the spread or the moneyline?

Tony Sink’s choice: Take Pittsburgh

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