Jannik Sinner and Frances Tiafoe will face each other in the final of the 2024 Cincinnati Open on Monday. Here is a prediction for Jannik Sinner vs. Frances Tiafoe. This article contains picks for Jannik Sinner vs. Frances Tiafoe.

Jannik Sinner betting preview

Jannik Sinner is coming off a 3-set victory over Alexander Zverev in 38 games. In that victory, Sinner won 70% of his first serve points and 64% of his second serve points. Sinner won 68% of his total service points and converted 2 of his 4 break points. Sinner made 62% of his first serves and hit 12 aces. Sinner has won two 3-set matches in a row and has now won 11 of his last 12 tiebreaks. Sinner is looking for his fifth title this year and 15th career title. Sinner is 4-0 in finals this year and 14-4 in career finals. Sinner is 2-2 in Masters 1000 final trips and 12-4 in hard court final trips. Sinner has won 6 of his last 7 grass court matches.

Frances Tiafoe Betting Preview

Frances Tiafoe is fresh off a 3-set victory over Holger Rune that took 30 games to decide. In that win, Tiafoe won 78 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Tiafoe won 70 percent of his total service points and converted 3 of his 6 break points. Tiafoe made 50 percent of his first serves and hit 13 aces. Tiafoe made a miraculous comeback from being 2-5 down in the third set and it will be interesting to see how he responds to such an emotional win. Tiafoe is hoping to win his first title of the year and fourth of his career. Tiafoe hasn’t won a title since last year’s Stuttgart Open and lost his only other final this year, the US Men’s Clay Court Championships. Tiafoe is 3-5 in career final appearances. Tiafoe has never played in a Masters 1000 final and has an overall record of 1-2 in hard court finals. Tiafoe has won 8 of his last 10 matches on grass.

Jannik Sinner vs Frances Tiafoe H2H

Sinner has won 3 of the 4 matches against Tiafoe, including the last match in Vienna 2023. Tiafoe’s only win over Sinner was in Vienna 2021. Only one of the four matches was decided in two sets.

Prediction for Jannik Sinner vs Frances Tiafoe

Sinner is the legitimate favorite because he flexes his muscles as the best player in the world, he’s adept at H2H, and he has far more experience in big matches. However, we get almost three times our money on Tiafoe. First, Tiafoe is not the same player he was a few years ago, and three of the matches took place in 2021 or later. Tiafoe also plays his best tennis on the biggest stages or when he has the crowd behind him. That’s the case here.

Will Sinner win? Probably. But I’d like to bet on Tiafoe at these odds. He’s a living underdog on US soil.