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Invest 90 L to keep Gulf Coast soaked; parts of South Mississippi under flood warning


Invest 90 L to keep Gulf Coast soaked; parts of South Mississippi under flood warning

SOUTH MISSISSIPPI (WLOX) – The WLOX First Alert Weather Team continues to monitor an area of ​​unsettled weather off the coast of Texas and Louisiana.

This area has shown signs of slowly transitioning into a tropical system over the past 24 hours and has been designated Invest 90L by the National Hurricane Center.

While the development potential is low at 90L, the main concern in the coming days is the threat of heavy rain and flooding along the northern Gulf Coast.

Persistent thunderstorm activity in conjunction with an extensive low pressure area and stalled …
Persistent thunderstorm activity associated with an extensive low pressure system and a stagnant front has led to possible tropical development. This area of ​​interest has been designated Invest 90L.(wlox)
The National Hurricane Center's Tropical Weather Outlook highlights areas where tropical ...
The National Hurricane Center’s Tropical Weather Outlook highlights areas where tropical weather conditions are possible over the next 2–7 days.(wlox)

Rainy weather for South Mississippi

As the 90L wind slowly moves eastward along the Louisiana coast, there will be intermittent rain showers across southern Mississippi through Saturday.

Model trends continue to indicate that the highest rainfall amounts are expected directly along the coast and offshore, but a tiny shift in the 90L track to the north could result in the 5-10″ rainfall amount being shifted from over the water to the I-10 corridor.

Meanwhile, light east/northeast winds will continue through the weekend. Gusts may reach over 25 mph at times along the coast and over the water. This sustained wind will create an onshore current for Hancock County, resulting in higher than normal tides and causing minor flooding in the streets and low-lying areas along the coast.

There is still uncertainty about the overall course and development of 90L. It is important to keep checking to see if the prognosis changes.

Models forecast additional rainfall through Saturday evening suggest that the highest rainfall amounts will be …
The model forecast additional precipitation through Saturday evening and suggests the highest rainfall amounts could be over the water. A small shift northward with the track of Invest 90L could increase the totals along the I-10 corridor by 6-12 inches+.(wlox)
A flood warning remains in effect until Saturday morning.
A flood warning remains in effect until Saturday morning.(WLOX)
Flood Warning for southern and coastal Hancock counties due to offshore winds causing...
Flood Warning for southern and coastal Hancock counties as offshore winds may cause higher than normal tides and nuisance flooding may occur in low lying areas.(WLOX)
Tide Thursday night
Tide Thursday night(WLOX)
Tides Friday
Tides Friday(WLOX)

Slow

Invest 90L is in no hurry to move. It is caught in weak steering currents and blocked between two high pressure ridges in the upper atmosphere. A high pressure area off the east coast is currently keeping 90L from moving too far east.

However, a low point in the jet stream is expected to drift south this weekend. This could send a cold front to the Gulf Coast, potentially steering 90L south or keeping it offshore and increasing wind shear – slowing development.

Invest 90L is in no hurry to move anywhere as it is wedged between two high ridges...
Invest 90L is in no hurry to move anywhere as it is stuck between two high pressure ridges. At the same time, wind shear prevents quick organization.(wlox)
The future radar shows that Invest 90L is slowly sailing along the coast of Louisiana.
The future radar shows that Invest 90L is slowly sailing along the coast of Louisiana.(wlox)
The future radar shows that Invest 90L is slowly sailing along the coast of Louisiana.
The future radar shows that Invest 90L is slowly sailing along the coast of Louisiana.(wlox)
The future radar shows that Invest 90L is slowly sailing along the coast of Louisiana.
The future radar shows that Invest 90L is slowly sailing along the coast of Louisiana.(wlox)
A cold front is expected to approach the region over the weekend. There is some uncertainty...
A cold front will reach the region over the weekend. There is some uncertainty as to how far south the front will advance to the coast. However, as the upper trough that will carry the front southward digs southward, upper level winds are expected to be less favorable for development.(wlox)

Tropical waves

The development of four more tropical waves is observed over the Caribbean and the eastern Atlantic.

The first wave in the Caribbean has little chance of developing as it approaches the Yucatan Peninsula by the end of the week. Once the tropical wave crosses the Yucatan Peninsula, it is possible that it will form into a tropical system over the Bay of Campeche. It is too early to say if this will have a direct impact on the US, but it is worth keeping an eye on developments this weekend and early next week.

Two further waves east of the Lesser Antilles give no cause for concern.

A disturbance designated Invest 99L off the east coast of the United States has a low probability of occurring over the next 5-7 days.

Five disturbances in the Atlantic, all with a low probability of developing in the next seven days.
Five disturbances in the Atlantic, all with a low probability of developing in the next seven days.(WLOX)

Cold front at the weekend?

Model trends continue to indicate that a cold front could reach the Gulf Coast by the weekend, with lows around 15 degrees Celsius by Sunday morning and dry air.

Long-term model trends indicate that a strong front will approach the south early next week.
Long-term model trends indicate that a strong front will approach the south early next week.(wlox)

Tropical dishes to go

It is too early to determine if the tropical waves in the Caribbean will impact the continental U.S. Once this system develops a center of circulation, it will be easier to predict and track. The best thing you can do now is just continue to monitor the latest updates on any developments or changes.

The climatological peak of the hurricane season will be reached within the next two weeks on September 10th. The next name on the list is Francine.

There have been five named storms so far in the 2024 hurricane season
There have been five named storms so far in the 2024 hurricane season(wlox)
Traces of named storms from the 2024 hurricane season so far. Almost all storms were...
Traces of named storms so far from the 2024 hurricane season. Almost all storms occurred in the Gulf of Mexico.(wlox)

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