The Baylor Bears (1-1) welcome the Falcons of the Luftwaffe (1-1) head to McLane Stadium on Saturday for a primetime showdown. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s check out BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Air Force vs Baylor Opportunitiesand give our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Bears opened their season by defeating the Tarleton State Texans 45-3 in Week 1, taking a 35-point lead. Baylor then went on the road and lost 23-12 to the No. 12 Utah Utes, who led by 14.5 points. The Bears are led by QB Dequan Finnwho completed 23 of 43 attempts for 307 yards and 3 TDs.

Air Force, known for its strong running game, averages just 154 rushing yards per game. The Falcons beat the Merrimack Warriors 21-6 in Week 1 despite failing to score as a 30-point favorite, and lost 17-7 to San Jose State at home last week as a 3-point favorite. They are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) and 0-2 over/under. Air Force QB Johannes Busha has a completion rate of only 38.2% after 2 games.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Air Force at Baylor odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of college football odds. Odds last updated at 10:56 p.m. ET on Thursday.

• Moneyline (ML): Air Force +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Baylor -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +16.5 (-110) | Baylor -16.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Tips and predictions for Air Force at Baylor

forecast

Baylor 30, Air Force 13

Money line

HAPPEN.

This is worthless. Baylor is way too expensive to put on the moneyline. Avoid this play.

Against the spread

BET BAYLOR -16.5 (-110).

Air Force’s offense just won’t be good enough to compete here. The Falcons, normally a dominant rushing team, don’t have a single player who has over 100 rushing yards in 2 games.

Air Force is 0-2 ATS and hasn’t been able to overcome a 10-plus point difference. The Bears haven’t been great, trailing 23-3 at halftime before Utah’s star QB went down, but are still 2-0 ATS. The Bears beat Tarleton State and can pull away from weaker opponents.

Back BEARS -16.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 41.5 (-110).

Air Force will want to run the ball, and Baylor was unable to stop Utah on the ground in Week 2, allowing its opponent 170 rushing yards. The Falcons should be able to move the ball more and contribute to the overall score.

Likewise, the Bears will have a much weaker defense than Utah and should be able to score frequently. They scored 45 points in their Week 1 win. That’s a low total considering Baylor has scored a total of 53.5 or more points in their first two games.

Take OVER 41.5 (-110).

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