The Boston Red Sox (76-77) welcome the Minnesota Twins (80-73) to Fenway Park on Friday for the first game of their 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s check out BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs Red Sox Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

The Red Sox lost 2-0 to the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday, dropping their second game in the 3-game series. Boston, which is ranked 3rd in the AL East, has lost 5 of its last 7 games, all on the road, where it has fared better this season. The Red Sox are 35-40 at home and have won 4 of their last 6 games at Fenway Park. They are 71-82 against the spread (ATS).

The Twins, who are 38-40 on the road this season, have lost 3 of their last 4 games, with all 3 losses coming by just 1 run. On Thursday, they lost 3-2 to the Cleveland Guardians. Minnesota has struggled to get going on offense lately, scoring 4 or fewer runs in 4 straight games. They are 38-40 on the road and 70-83 ATS.

Expected starters for the Twins and Red Sox

RHP David Festa against RHP Richard FIt is

Festa (2-6, 5.07 ERA) is making his 12th start and 13th career appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 55 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in the 9-2 home win against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday
• Away statistics 2024: 2-2, 3.96 ERA (25 IP, 11 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 5 starts
• First game against the Red Sox

Fitts (0-0, 0.00 ERA) is making his 3rd career start. He has a WHIP of 1.13, 3.4 BB/9 and 3.4 K/9 in 10 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K in a 5-4 road loss to the New York Yankees on Friday
• Home stats 2024: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 3.2 K/9 in 1 start
• 2024 AAA (Worcester) Stats: 9-5, 4.55 ERA (116 2/3 IP, 54 ER), 1.28 WHIP in 24 appearances (23 starts)

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Twins at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+145) | Red Sox +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Tips and predictions for the Twins at the Red Sox

forecast

Red Sox 5, Twins 3

Money line

BET ON THE RED SOX (-105).

The Twins have struggled in recent weeks, but they have been even worse on the road against tough opponents. Minnesota has lost 6 of its last 7 road games and 8 of its last 10 away games.

The Red Sox have won two of their last three home games. Fitts has limited experience, but has yet to allow an earned run and has been excellent in his first two starts. The Twins are 1-4 in Festa’s last five starts.

Take RED SOX (-105).

Running Line/Against the Spread

HAPPEN.

There’s not much value here. The Twins are too risky as run-line favorites, especially considering how they’ve played recently, and the Red Sox are too expensive as run-line underdogs.

Avoid this game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

The Red Sox have lost under in 4 of their last 5 games and have struggled to score consistently, scoring just 7 runs in their last 4 games. Boston has a 1-7-1 O/U record in their last 9 games.

The Twins are 1-2-1 O/U in their last 4 games, scoring 13 runs and allowing 13 runs. Minnesota is also 1-6-2 O/U in Festa’s last 9 starts. UNDER 9 (-115).

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