The Philadelphia Phillies (91-61) and New York Mets (84-68) open a 4-game battle in the NL East on Thursday. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s check out BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs Mets Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: Philadelphia leads 6-3

Philadelphia lost 2-1 to the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday and failed to impress as a -102 favorite on the road. The Phillies have not yet won the NL East, but are still almost certain to advance to the postseason.

New York crushed the Washington Nationals 10-0 on Wednesday, being a -165 home favorite. The Mets have won 3 games in a row and are 2 games ahead of Atlanta for 2nd place in the NL East and have over a 70% chance of making the playoffs.

Expected starters for the Phillies at the Mets

RHP Taijuan Walker against RHP Luis Severino

Walker (3-6, 6.29 ERA) makes his 15th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 78 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 13 H, 1 BB, 0 K in a 10-0 game against the Houston Astros on August 28
• Career against the Mets: 1-3, 3.18 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 in 9 appearances (8 starts)

Severino (10-6, 3.77 ERA) is making his 30th start. He has a WHIP of 1.23, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 172 IP.

• Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 6-4 loss at Philadelphia on Saturday
• Career against Philadelphia: 1-0, 2.08 ERA (13 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 1 BB, 14 K in 2 starts

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Odds for Phillies vs Mets

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 12:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Phillies +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Running Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-185) | Mets -1.5 (+150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Tips and predictions for the Phillies at the Mets

forecast

Philadelphia 4, Mets 2

Money line

SLIM PHILLIES (+120).

Philadelphia has won its last two meetings with New York and has finished its last ten meetings with the Mets 7-3. The Phillies have also finished their last four meetings with the Mets in the Big Apple 4-0.

This is a trend, as Philadelphia is just 1-3 in their last 4 road games, while the Mets have won three in a row at home.

Running Line/Against the Spread

HAPPEN.

I expect the Phillies to be +1.5 (-185) underdogs here, but since that line is so cheap, their odds are better on the moneyline. Instead, bet on the moneyline and/or total.

Over/Under

SLIM UNDER 8 (-110).

The Under has scored in back-to-back games for Philadelphia and is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games. For NY, the Under is 2-1-1 in their last 4 losses. The Under has also scored in each of the last 2 meetings between these teams in New York and is 3-2 in their last 5 meetings overall.

This is a trend, as the under record is just 4-5-1 in New York’s last 10 games overall and just 5-4-1 in Philadelphia’s last 10 games overall.

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