Yahoo Sports Fantasy analyst Matt Harmon and NFL analyst Nate Tice preview the Thursday Night Football matchup between the Patriots and Jets, focusing on who might exceed expectations in a matchup of two stout defenses. Listen to the entire conversation on the Yahoo Fantasy Forecast podcast — and subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen.
Video transcript
Patriots and Jets.
Football on Thursday night.
That’s why we have Thursday night football here.
Um, I don’t think there will be many points scored in this game.
The total forecast deployment.
MGM 38.5.
It certainly won’t be a points fest.
Uh, what do you have to watch out for in this game here when it’s two pretty simple attacks, at least very simple from a fantasy perspective.
Would you like me to get my props?
Because when we talk about defense, we’re talking about the Patriots defense. They like to bench the other team’s number one receiver when they play the Jets.
Garrett Wilson will receive this treatment at 3.5 receptions.
Let’s do it.
I think it was plus-160 when I looked at it, but that’s only because I think it’s necessary on the other side because I’m happy to give each side a point for the Jets’ defense.
This defense and this type of defensive scheme has always been vulnerable to catches by running backs and tight ends versus Hunter Henry, plus 3.5 passes caught plus 110, and I’ll even count over 31.5 guards caught.
You know, he’s had a pretty good season so far, a solid season, as good as the Patriots passing game gets.
I don’t know, man, I almost wanted to go over on Garrett Wilson’s receptions because the odds are in the plus.
This seems to be a classic.
We get this guy the ball under Garret Wilson and take 5.5 pass catches.
I just think, because Rogers talked about it on the McAfee show, I need to keep getting this guy more targets, you know.
So I feel like it’s more of a force-feeding thing, which is why I’m looking at catches here and not yards.
I also think Antonio Gibson exceeded 21.5 rushing yards here as well.
We have definitely seen him become more involved.
Uh, he only played 16 snaps in week two, but 24% of the team’s snaps, but he had 11 carries in those 16 snaps.
This Jets team has accomplished a lot so far this year, especially in Week 1 against the Niners. There were a lot of these stretch runs on defense, like defensive edge players, because we knew Hassan Reddick wasn’t there.
We know they tend to play with lighter guys out there.
Jermaine Johnson just went on, uh, he’s out for the rest of the season with a torn Achilles tendon.
So again, a player on the edge taking Gibson out of the game because of the way he runs the ball.
Uh, even if it’s more, you know, kind of power when running, things like that.
I think he could do some big things here, especially if you can get to the edge somewhere.
That’s a good reputation.
He had some really nice runs last week, uh, against Seattle.
Um, and, and, yes.
No, and I think they trust him and like him, and yes, he is really good looking.
Well, I like that.
