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Prediction for Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev: Odds and tips for the US Open


Prediction for Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev: Odds and tips for the US Open

The two best players still in the men’s field at the 2024 US Open will meet on Wednesday evening.

World number one Jannik Sinner, looking for his second Grand Slam title and his first US Open title, is the -300 favorite against 2021 champion Daniil Medvedev.

Both players were confident in their round of 16 victories and only lost one set on their way to the quarterfinals. In other words, Wednesday’s match is set to be a blockbuster.

Let’s dive a little deeper into the game and make a selection.

Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev odds

player Money line Total games
Jannik Sinner -300 o38.5 (-120)
Daniil Medvedev +230 u38.5 (-110)
Odds via DraftKings

Sinner vs. Medvedev Prediction

Sinner had entered the 2024 US Open as one of the favorites, but also came under scrutiny after it was announced in March that he tested positive for a banned substance.

The winner of the 2024 Australian Open was acquitted by a court, but it was still a moment that shook the sport and put additional pressure on the Italian.


Jannik Sinner goes into his quarterfinal match at the US Open as world number one.
Jannik Sinner goes into his quarterfinal match at the US Open as world number one. Getty Images for ITF

And it looked like the situation could have become even more dramatic when Sinner lost the first set to Mackenzie McDonald in round 1.

But Sinner reoriented himself from then on and won 12 sets in a row, eight of them with at least a four-game lead.

Medvedev also dropped a set in his first-round match, but beyond that he was hardly challenged in this tournament. The Russian won 10 of his 12 sets by at least three games.

Medvedev also has a lot of positive experience to draw on in this situation. Not only has he won a US Open trophy, but he has also reached the semifinals in four of his last five trips to Queens.

There are also some stylistic details that the Russian can exploit in this competition. Like Sinner, Medvedev is an elite defensive player who can boast worldwide coverage.

Sinner hits the ball, but Medvedev is one of the few players on the planet who can match that kind of power with his defense.


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Sinner was great, but Medvedev was still on his side these two weeks and will be able to answer some difficult questions from the world number one.

This is likely to be a tough fight and that is a credit to Medvedev, who has no problem staying up late into the New York night to get the job done.

The bet: Daniil Medvedev (+230, DraftKings)

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