Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, September 10, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/point distribution: Tampa Bay (+166) Philadelphia (-202)

The Philadelphia Phillies (85-58) host the Tampa Bay Rays (71-72) on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park. The moneyline for this game is +166 for the Rays and -202 for the Phillies. The over/under odds have been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Taj Bradley and Ranger Suarez.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays score 3.9 runs/game, which ranks them 28th in MLB. They have scored 554 runs and have a team OBP of .305. As a team, the Rays have hit 225 doubles and hit 131 balls out of the park. They have collected 515 runs batted in and 1,100 base hits this season, while their batting average is .231. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .368 and has been checked 1,318 times while walking 454 times.

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The Rays have a 3.89 ERA this season (12th in MLB) and their team has struck out 1,229 hitters. The Rays’ pitchers have allowed 183 home runs and 609 total runs (12th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 404 opposing batters and their FIP as a team this season is 4.20. Tampa Bay has allowed 1,162 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 552 earned runs. They have posted a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and their pitching staff has posted a combined WHIP of 1.23.

The Rays’ pitchers have entered the game with runners on the field 112 times and have had 179 appearances in high-pressure situations. The bullpen has a total of 92 holds this season (6th in the league). The Rays’ relievers have posted a save percentage of 68.8% and have entered the game in 158 save situations. They have earned 44 saves on the season and failed to capitalize on 20 of their 64 save opportunities. Relievers have taken on 163 baserunners on the season and 23.3% of those runners have ended up scoring. The Rays have sent 481 relievers to the mound this season.

The Rays have turned 70.5% of their balls into outs in their 11,502 innings on the field, ranking eighth in the majors. The Tampa Bay Rays have 3,834 putouts so far this season, along with 1,121 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently .984, ranking 22nd in professional baseball, and they have 99 double plays.

Bradley has pitched 221 innings in his MLB career and has 260 Ks. His ERA is 4.97 (122 ERs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.294. He has allowed 208 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and 78 walks. Bradley (career record 11-18) has a FIP of 4.89 while facing 946 opposing batters in the Major Leagues.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a .328 on-base percentage and a .259 batting average for the year. They have 1,199 strikeouts (18th in baseball) and have totaled 1,274 base hits. Philadelphia has hit 172 home runs and scored 669 runs batted in on the season. The Phillies have a .425 SLG% and are scoring 4.90 runs per game (5th in baseball). They have hit 255 doubles, issued 465 walks and scored 700 runs.

As a team, the Phillies have a WHIP of 1.211 and a FIP of 3.84 this year. As a pitching team, they currently rank 17th in the league with 1,166 hits allowed. Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 583 runs this season and have a team ERA of 3.74 (531 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.90 (1,267 strikeouts vs. 382 bases on balls). They have allowed 159 home runs and allow 4.11 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league).

In 120 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 67 holds and 18 blown saves. Philadelphia’s bullpen pitchers have taken the mound on 52 save opportunities and recorded 34 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped in 148 times in high-pressure situations and 85 times with runners on base. Philadelphia’s relief pitchers have an Inherited Score Percentage of 34.8% of 115 Inherited Base Runners. They rank 12th in baseball with a Save Percentage of 65.4% and have sent 456 relievers to the field this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have made 110 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in baseball). The Phillies have 1,302 assists, 78 errors and 3,835 putouts this season. In their 11,505 innings played, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (18th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Suarez has allowed 546 base hits and has 541 punch outs in 587 innings pitched. Suarez (41-27 career win-loss record) has a 3.30 earned run average and 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 215 earned runs while having a 1.257 WHIP and a 3.2 FIP. He has a 2.82 K/BB ratio and has faced 2,457 batters in his career.

Who will win today’s MLB game against the spread or the moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s tip: Take Tampa Bay (+166)

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