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What role Harris’ and Trump’s race, ethnicity, gender and age play in the 2024 election


What role Harris’ and Trump’s race, ethnicity, gender and age play in the 2024 election

If Vice President Kamala Harris is elected president in November, she will be the first black woman and Asian American to win the White House.

And if former President Donald Trump wins, he will be the oldest person ever elected president.

Voters are largely divided about the potential impact of these historic “firsts.”

The chart shows voters' views on how Harris and Trump's race and ethnicity, gender and age will affect the 2024 election.

More voters say the fact that Harris is Asian and Black will help her candidacy (41%) rather than hurt it (19%), but 39% don’t think it will make much of a difference.

More people also say Harris’ gender will be an advantage (40%) rather than a liability (30%) for voters in November, while 30% say it will make little difference.

As for Trump, far more people believe his gender and race will help rather than hurt him with voters in November, but in any case about half (51%) say it won’t make much difference.

Trump’s age, on the other hand, is widely seen as a disadvantage, while Harris’ age is viewed more positively. Nearly half of voters (49%) say the fact that Trump is 78 will hurt his candidacy, compared to just 3% who say it will help him. Another 48% say it won’t make much of a difference.

More than four in ten voters (46 percent) say the fact that Harris is 59 will help her candidacy, while three percent say it will hurt her and 51 percent say it won’t make much of a difference.

Harris and Trump supporters on the influence of the candidates’ race and gender

Harris’ supporters are divided over the potential impact of the vice president’s race and gender:

  • 36% believe that Harris’s ethnicity will be an advantage in terms of voting because she is Asian and black, while 31% believe it will hurt her.
  • Slightly more Harris supporters believe that the fact that Harris is a woman will hurt her (42%) rather than help her (34%).

Trump supporters are much more likely to say that Harris’ race and gender will help her candidacy:

  • Forty-six percent believe the fact that Harris is Asian and black will help her win votes, and just as many believe her gender will be an advantage.
  • Only 8 percent of Trump supporters say their race and ethnicity would hurt their candidacy, while 16 percent say the same about their gender.

The majority of Harris supporters say the fact that Trump is white (59%) and a man (56%) will help him in November. Most Trump supporters say the former president’s race and gender will not make much of a difference (66% say this about Trump’s race, 61% say the same about his gender).

How men and women assess the impact of the candidates’ gender

Chart shows: Women are divided on whether Harris' gender will help or hurt her candidacy

There are relatively small differences between male and female voters in their belief that the gender of candidates will help or hinder their candidacy.

Overall, both female and male voters say Trump’s gender will help him more than hurt him. About half of men and women say it will make little difference.

Women are split on whether Harris’s being a woman will help her with voters (38%) or hurt her (33%), with 29% saying it won’t make much of a difference.

Men see fewer negative effects of Harris’ gender: 41% say it would help her, 26% say it would hurt her and 32% say it wouldn’t make much difference.

Views on the races and ethnicities of the candidates

Voters’ views on how the race and ethnicity of candidates will influence the election vary across race and ethnicity.

The chart shows that about half of black, Hispanic and Asian voters say Trump's race will help him with voters; fewer say the same about Harris' race and ethnicity

Black and Asian voters are divided on whether Harris’ race and ethnicity will help or hurt her with voters. Nearly as many black voters think that Harris’s being black and Asian will hurt her (26%) as help her (31%). Among Asian voters, 39% think it will help her, while 30% think it will hurt her.

More Hispanic voters believe Harris’ race and ethnicity help her (36%) than hurt her (21%). More than twice as many white voters think the same (44% help, 17% hurt).

About half of black, Hispanic and Asian voters view Trump’s ethnicity as a positive aspect of his candidacy. A third of white voters say the same.

Views of younger and older voters on the age of candidates

Voters of all ages are significantly more likely to say that Trump’s age will hurt him rather than help him, and that Harris’ age will help her rather than hurt her.

Diagram shows: Young voters most likely to see Harris' age as an advantage, Trump's as a disadvantage

This is especially true for the youngest group of voters:

  • A 57 percent majority of 18- to 29-year-old voters believe Harris’ age will help her.
  • In this group, only 6% believe that their age would harm them in the election.

By comparison, 58 percent of voters under 30 think Trump’s age will hurt him, and only 5 percent think it will help him.

Nevertheless, across all age groups, quite large proportions of voters say that the age of the two candidates will not make much difference in November.

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